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	<title>Comments on: Will the Decline of Coal Usher in a New Age of Nuclear?</title>
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	<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/</link>
	<description>Dispatches from the Youth Climate Movement</description>
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		<title>By: Jason Misner</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-48380</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jason Misner]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jul 2007 15:39:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-48380</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bang up post, Amy!  EJS-North FLA is going to kick some butt and get the ball rolling on anti-Nuke stuff in FLA.  Great to see the serious dialog going on around this and it seems like everyone&#039;s on the same page - NO NUKES!

EE must be fully exhausted &amp; diminished consumerism MUST take place for us to even begin to realistically address the energy issue from a demand side.  For now, we fight dirty energy!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bang up post, Amy!  EJS-North FLA is going to kick some butt and get the ball rolling on anti-Nuke stuff in FLA.  Great to see the serious dialog going on around this and it seems like everyone&#8217;s on the same page &#8211; NO NUKES!</p>
<p>EE must be fully exhausted &amp; diminished consumerism MUST take place for us to even begin to realistically address the energy issue from a demand side.  For now, we fight dirty energy!</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Margolis</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47963</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert Margolis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jul 2007 01:49:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47963</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hmmm... it sounds just like those who say solar and wind can&#039;t work because you can&#039;t put that much intermittent power on the grid and you will use too much material and land.  One thing I have found (and I catch myself doing this too) is that advocates for the various energy sources assume the best for their source and the worst for the competition.  I truly believe we will need ALL the low-carbon sources to make it through the coming decades.

Now to the specifics of Jesse&#039;s post:

1)  Yes the expansion of nuclear energy will need to be at a level similar to that of the 1980&#039;s and sustained over 50 years.  Current designs such as the ABWR in Japan have been built in as quick as 37 months.  I think that we will need more advanced designs such as AP-1000, ESBWR, and perhaps even the pebble bed that can be built more quickly while enhancing safety margins.  Just as solar and wind have improved, nuclear has as well.  

2) The Erwin accident was not at a commercial nuclear facility, but for a navy fuel plant.  Certainly public accountability is required for a nuclear expansion.

3) Production of plutoium is a red herring.  It requires an implosion device which is a lot more difficult for terrorists.  Governments have either used enrichment or production reactors to get weapons material.  

4) Currently, most of the nuclear construction is in China and India.  These are the countries with large populations who need huge amounts of energy (even if they only go to 25% of the US per capita electric use, their electric demand would dwarf the US).  I can already hear the cat food and toothpaste comparisons.;-) however, I witnessed first hand how South Korea beefed up their regulatory regime and how their operators improved very quickly.

5) The high temperature heat sink (i.e., high water temperature)affects any source that uses thermal conversion without cooling towers (coal, gas, solar thermal, etc).  It is not specific to nuclear.  If the French had solar thermal plants on the sea, they would have faced the same problem.  

If I missed any, please let me know.  I am NOT saying that nuclear is the whole answer.  I do believe that nuclear should be DISCUSSED as one of the wedges.  If we are truly facing a combined issue of carbon emission, global energy demand growth, and at least a plateau (perhaps peak?) in oil recovery, we need to think beyond the old debates and arguments.  All of the low-carbon energy sources would need to be increased by dramatic amounts.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmmm&#8230; it sounds just like those who say solar and wind can&#8217;t work because you can&#8217;t put that much intermittent power on the grid and you will use too much material and land.  One thing I have found (and I catch myself doing this too) is that advocates for the various energy sources assume the best for their source and the worst for the competition.  I truly believe we will need ALL the low-carbon sources to make it through the coming decades.</p>
<p>Now to the specifics of Jesse&#8217;s post:</p>
<p>1)  Yes the expansion of nuclear energy will need to be at a level similar to that of the 1980&#8242;s and sustained over 50 years.  Current designs such as the ABWR in Japan have been built in as quick as 37 months.  I think that we will need more advanced designs such as AP-1000, ESBWR, and perhaps even the pebble bed that can be built more quickly while enhancing safety margins.  Just as solar and wind have improved, nuclear has as well.  </p>
<p>2) The Erwin accident was not at a commercial nuclear facility, but for a navy fuel plant.  Certainly public accountability is required for a nuclear expansion.</p>
<p>3) Production of plutoium is a red herring.  It requires an implosion device which is a lot more difficult for terrorists.  Governments have either used enrichment or production reactors to get weapons material.  </p>
<p>4) Currently, most of the nuclear construction is in China and India.  These are the countries with large populations who need huge amounts of energy (even if they only go to 25% of the US per capita electric use, their electric demand would dwarf the US).  I can already hear the cat food and toothpaste comparisons.;-) however, I witnessed first hand how South Korea beefed up their regulatory regime and how their operators improved very quickly.</p>
<p>5) The high temperature heat sink (i.e., high water temperature)affects any source that uses thermal conversion without cooling towers (coal, gas, solar thermal, etc).  It is not specific to nuclear.  If the French had solar thermal plants on the sea, they would have faced the same problem.  </p>
<p>If I missed any, please let me know.  I am NOT saying that nuclear is the whole answer.  I do believe that nuclear should be DISCUSSED as one of the wedges.  If we are truly facing a combined issue of carbon emission, global energy demand growth, and at least a plateau (perhaps peak?) in oil recovery, we need to think beyond the old debates and arguments.  All of the low-carbon energy sources would need to be increased by dramatic amounts.</p>
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		<title>By: Jesse Jenkins</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47914</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jesse Jenkins]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jul 2007 06:04:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47914</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Given the direction of this thread, folks might be interested in what Sierra Club Executive Director, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.sierraclub.org/carlpope/2007/07/nuclear-chimera.asp&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Carl Pope had to say&lt;/a&gt; at his blog this month on nuclear power and it&#039;s potential (or lack thereof) to contribute meaningfully to solve the climate crisis.

Here&#039;s just one quote from the end (I encourage you to &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.sierraclub.org/carlpope/2007/07/nuclear-chimera.asp&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;read the whole thing&lt;/a&gt;):

&quot;The Oxford Group said that to make a meaningful contribution [to curbing climate change], the world would need to build four nuclear plants a month, every month, for the next 70 years. Under this scenario, by 2075, 4,000 tons of plutonium, which is twenty times the world&#039;s entire military stockpile today, would need to be reprocessed into reactor fuel each year.

As a comparison, even President Bush in his most bullish nuclear moment foresees only three new plants a year in the U.S. -- so it&#039;s clear that nuclear is meaningless as a solution to the global warming problem, especially if it can be safely deployed only in the U..S, Europe, and Japan. Just how many nuclear reactors do we want to build in Nigeria, Pakistan, and the Sudan?&quot;

Robert, what do you think of &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.sierraclub.org/carlpope/2007/07/nuclear-chimera.asp&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Carl&#039;s post&lt;/a&gt;?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given the direction of this thread, folks might be interested in what Sierra Club Executive Director, <a href="http://www.sierraclub.org/carlpope/2007/07/nuclear-chimera.asp" rel="nofollow">Carl Pope had to say</a> at his blog this month on nuclear power and it&#8217;s potential (or lack thereof) to contribute meaningfully to solve the climate crisis.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s just one quote from the end (I encourage you to <a href="http://www.sierraclub.org/carlpope/2007/07/nuclear-chimera.asp" rel="nofollow">read the whole thing</a>):</p>
<p>&#8220;The Oxford Group said that to make a meaningful contribution [to curbing climate change], the world would need to build four nuclear plants a month, every month, for the next 70 years. Under this scenario, by 2075, 4,000 tons of plutonium, which is twenty times the world&#8217;s entire military stockpile today, would need to be reprocessed into reactor fuel each year.</p>
<p>As a comparison, even President Bush in his most bullish nuclear moment foresees only three new plants a year in the U.S. &#8212; so it&#8217;s clear that nuclear is meaningless as a solution to the global warming problem, especially if it can be safely deployed only in the U..S, Europe, and Japan. Just how many nuclear reactors do we want to build in Nigeria, Pakistan, and the Sudan?&#8221;</p>
<p>Robert, what do you think of <a href="http://www.sierraclub.org/carlpope/2007/07/nuclear-chimera.asp" rel="nofollow">Carl&#8217;s post</a>?</p>
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		<title>By: David</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47884</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jul 2007 15:32:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47884</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Great post Amy. Plain and simple, nuclear is not a solution. 

Although there are barrage of reasons why nukes are no good, the least controversial reason to drop nuclear (the economics) seems to resonate the most with the general public. 

The only reason nukes have been used in past is becuase of HEAVY subsidizing and government insurance, corporate welfare at its worst. The nuclear industry could and will never assume the full cost of nuclear power (financing, insuring, inspecting, physically securing, safeguarding, and decommissioning plants as well as disposing of nuclear waste, ect).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great post Amy. Plain and simple, nuclear is not a solution. </p>
<p>Although there are barrage of reasons why nukes are no good, the least controversial reason to drop nuclear (the economics) seems to resonate the most with the general public. </p>
<p>The only reason nukes have been used in past is becuase of HEAVY subsidizing and government insurance, corporate welfare at its worst. The nuclear industry could and will never assume the full cost of nuclear power (financing, insuring, inspecting, physically securing, safeguarding, and decommissioning plants as well as disposing of nuclear waste, ect).</p>
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		<title>By: R Margolis</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47872</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[R Margolis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jul 2007 11:29:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47872</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the US, opposition to wind projects such as Cape Wind and Long Island have slowed this energy source too.  Coal and nuclear are over 70% of the US generating capacity and to replace it (even including conservation) with wind and solar would require a very economic electric storage mechanism or a massive switch to LNG (with sequestration?) for baseload power.  In addition, both solar and wind require mining and petrochemicals for manufacture of the wind turbines, solar cells (these need toxics like arsenic and cadmium too), or solar thermal collectors and their working fluids.  I am not saying you can&#039;t &quot;go solar&quot;, but it is not a silver bullet either.  

On the global scale, China, India, and the African nations all have rising energy demands.  Even with high efficiency appliances, some way has to be found to supply terawatts of electric power 24/7 without affecting global warming.  These are real challenges that require difficult solutions.  You can oppose nuclear, but the numbers need to work.  I hope that the climate movement will at least consider these issues in your upcoming conferences.  

Robert]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the US, opposition to wind projects such as Cape Wind and Long Island have slowed this energy source too.  Coal and nuclear are over 70% of the US generating capacity and to replace it (even including conservation) with wind and solar would require a very economic electric storage mechanism or a massive switch to LNG (with sequestration?) for baseload power.  In addition, both solar and wind require mining and petrochemicals for manufacture of the wind turbines, solar cells (these need toxics like arsenic and cadmium too), or solar thermal collectors and their working fluids.  I am not saying you can&#8217;t &#8220;go solar&#8221;, but it is not a silver bullet either.  </p>
<p>On the global scale, China, India, and the African nations all have rising energy demands.  Even with high efficiency appliances, some way has to be found to supply terawatts of electric power 24/7 without affecting global warming.  These are real challenges that require difficult solutions.  You can oppose nuclear, but the numbers need to work.  I hope that the climate movement will at least consider these issues in your upcoming conferences.  </p>
<p>Robert</p>
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		<title>By: Anna Rose</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47870</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Anna Rose]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jul 2007 10:41:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47870</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hey Willie, 

Never met you, but really sorry to hear you&#039;re suffering from burn-out. Look after yourself, take time out, remember your comrades care about you and will love you no matter how much or little activism you do. Burnout is a horrible road to be on and I hope you get through it. 

On to the issue of nukes, of course nukes are no solution to climate change. We all know that. It&#039;s too dirty, too dangerous, too expensive, and will be too late to stop this climate crisis anyway. 

We thought of a good campaign slogan a while ago that is very relevant to our federal govt here in Australia - &quot;You can&#039;t dig your way out of climate change&quot; - their two main &#039;solutions&#039; are clean coal and nukes - both involve digging. They should be looking up - at the sun and wind - not down into the ground (unless they&#039;re looking for geothermal which would be great). 

Isn&#039;t it interesting that, here at least, the same mining companies that mine coal also mine uranium? So a shift to nukes away from coal wouldnt really harm them that much anyway.. but it WOULD harm the planet and all its people.

Catchya, 

Anna xx]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey Willie, </p>
<p>Never met you, but really sorry to hear you&#8217;re suffering from burn-out. Look after yourself, take time out, remember your comrades care about you and will love you no matter how much or little activism you do. Burnout is a horrible road to be on and I hope you get through it. </p>
<p>On to the issue of nukes, of course nukes are no solution to climate change. We all know that. It&#8217;s too dirty, too dangerous, too expensive, and will be too late to stop this climate crisis anyway. </p>
<p>We thought of a good campaign slogan a while ago that is very relevant to our federal govt here in Australia &#8211; &#8220;You can&#8217;t dig your way out of climate change&#8221; &#8211; their two main &#8216;solutions&#8217; are clean coal and nukes &#8211; both involve digging. They should be looking up &#8211; at the sun and wind &#8211; not down into the ground (unless they&#8217;re looking for geothermal which would be great). </p>
<p>Isn&#8217;t it interesting that, here at least, the same mining companies that mine coal also mine uranium? So a shift to nukes away from coal wouldnt really harm them that much anyway.. but it WOULD harm the planet and all its people.</p>
<p>Catchya, </p>
<p>Anna xx</p>
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		<title>By: willie dodson</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47848</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[willie dodson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jul 2007 00:43:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47848</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[just gotta voice a big no to nuclear here. it takes upward of a decade to get a new nuclear power plant online. the leaders on climate science tell us that we have about a decade to make the shifts we need. 

i&#039;m not so articulate at the moment. there&#039;s a reason i haven&#039;t been posting. it&#039;s called burn-out. but nonnethless this conversation needed someone to say no to nuclear.

willie]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>just gotta voice a big no to nuclear here. it takes upward of a decade to get a new nuclear power plant online. the leaders on climate science tell us that we have about a decade to make the shifts we need. </p>
<p>i&#8217;m not so articulate at the moment. there&#8217;s a reason i haven&#8217;t been posting. it&#8217;s called burn-out. but nonnethless this conversation needed someone to say no to nuclear.</p>
<p>willie</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Margolis</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47841</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert Margolis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jul 2007 19:45:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47841</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nuclear always scares people.  What is interesting is how global warming has not really scared the general public.  It is not always good to have these debate priorities set by what scares the most versus what can have the most negative impact.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nuclear always scares people.  What is interesting is how global warming has not really scared the general public.  It is not always good to have these debate priorities set by what scares the most versus what can have the most negative impact.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt Maiorana</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47838</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Matt Maiorana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jul 2007 19:12:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47838</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Add Brazil to the interested in nuclear list. Yesterday the President of Brazil was quoted as saying, &quot;Brazil could rank among those few nations in the world with a command of uranium enrichment technology, and I think we will be more highly valued as a nation - as the power we wish to be. If money was lacking, it won&#039;t be lacking now.&quot; Continuing on about nuclear plants, &quot;We will complete Angra III, and if necessary, we&#039;ll go on to build more because it is clean energy and now proven to be safe.&quot;

Angra III and a nuclear sub, projects which were started decades ago, will now be completed. Admittedly, nuclear could help solve the issue of global warming - but there are a wealth of issues which could easily arise in its place if we see widespread adoption. Scary stuff (even without the whole Iran issue).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Add Brazil to the interested in nuclear list. Yesterday the President of Brazil was quoted as saying, &#8220;Brazil could rank among those few nations in the world with a command of uranium enrichment technology, and I think we will be more highly valued as a nation &#8211; as the power we wish to be. If money was lacking, it won&#8217;t be lacking now.&#8221; Continuing on about nuclear plants, &#8220;We will complete Angra III, and if necessary, we&#8217;ll go on to build more because it is clean energy and now proven to be safe.&#8221;</p>
<p>Angra III and a nuclear sub, projects which were started decades ago, will now be completed. Admittedly, nuclear could help solve the issue of global warming &#8211; but there are a wealth of issues which could easily arise in its place if we see widespread adoption. Scary stuff (even without the whole Iran issue).</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Margolis</title>
		<link>http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47833</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert Margolis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jul 2007 18:05:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://itsgettinghotinhere.org/2007/07/11/will-the-decline-of-coal-usher-in-a-new-age-of-nuclear/#comment-47833</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While I do not see a big resurgence of nuclear yet (except for China, India, and Finland there have been no firm orders, only paper studies), the nuclear question actually raises bigger issues.  If the public wants to stop global warming while maintaining current lifestyles, then nuclear will be needed (hence Gov Crist&#039;s endorsement).  Without an economic electric storage technology, solar and wind cannot generate the baseload that nuclear can.

If the issue is changing lifestyles, then that case must be made on its own.  Much of the rhetoric I have heard against action on global warming is that it is just a smokescreen for those who want to change lifestyles.  As both a Florida resident and engineer who is worried about global warming, I know that nuclear has issues, but they are more manageable than the media suggests.  The reality for Florida is that, after solar, wind, and conservation, the remainder of the power will have to come from either natural gas, coal with carbon sequestration, nuclear, or lifestyle changes.  

We will face tough choices.  I would like to suggest that this discussion over choices continue and broaden rather than having more political fights over energy that have gotten us nowhere for decades.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While I do not see a big resurgence of nuclear yet (except for China, India, and Finland there have been no firm orders, only paper studies), the nuclear question actually raises bigger issues.  If the public wants to stop global warming while maintaining current lifestyles, then nuclear will be needed (hence Gov Crist&#8217;s endorsement).  Without an economic electric storage technology, solar and wind cannot generate the baseload that nuclear can.</p>
<p>If the issue is changing lifestyles, then that case must be made on its own.  Much of the rhetoric I have heard against action on global warming is that it is just a smokescreen for those who want to change lifestyles.  As both a Florida resident and engineer who is worried about global warming, I know that nuclear has issues, but they are more manageable than the media suggests.  The reality for Florida is that, after solar, wind, and conservation, the remainder of the power will have to come from either natural gas, coal with carbon sequestration, nuclear, or lifestyle changes.  </p>
<p>We will face tough choices.  I would like to suggest that this discussion over choices continue and broaden rather than having more political fights over energy that have gotten us nowhere for decades.</p>
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